Wichita State's CEDBR updates 2010 Wichita and Kansas forecasts
Dec 21, 2009 11:21 AM | Print
Share

The Center for Economic Development and Business Research at Wichita State University has updated its 2010 employment forecast for the Wichita MSA. According to the forecast, Wichita is expected to incur a decrease in total nonfarm employment of 0.5 percent, or more than 1,650 jobs, in 2010, after a decrease of 2.3 percent in 2009.

Wichita's economic situation is confirmed by the WSU Current Conditions Index, which tends to mirror the current Wichita economy.

The Current Index has maintained a steady decline during the past year. From its peak in October 2007, the index declined 24.6 percent through third quarter 2009.

An encouraging development is a 13.9 percent decline in the number of initial unemployment claims in Kansas from second to third quarter.

There are also positive signs in regard to the aircraft industry. The national inflation-adjusted value of new orders for aircraft and parts increased 5.2 percent from second to third quarter, and the aerospace stock index increased 9 percent.

In summary, national conditions show increased consumer confidence, overall economic growth and an increase in home sales. Unfortunately, this growth is not yet apparent in labor markets.

Although the picture is less bleak, the overall economic conditions in Wichita will remain negative through the middle of 2010, with mild growth expected in the second half of the year.

To see a chart of Wichita employment by industry, go to http://www.wichita.edu/j/?360.

Kansas forecast

As for the entire state, Kansas is expected to decrease jobs by 0.5 percent, or nearly 6,450 jobs in 2010, after a decrease of 3.2 percent in 2009.

Signs of economic weakness continue to affect the state. The aircraft industry has experienced significant losses, with more than 12,000 employee layoffs announced in the Wichita MSA between October 2008 and November 2009, but the pace has slowed.

In addition to decreases in employment, the number of outbound air passengers decreased 8.7 percent at Wichita's Mid-Continent Airport while declining 10.9 percent at Kansas City's International Airport for the 12 months ending October 2008 compared to the 12 months ending October 2009.

Economic strengths have begun to emerge.

The number of people unemployed in Kansas declined by more than 23,000 individuals from the peak of more than 120,000 in July, to less than 98,000 in October. Creighton University's October leading economic indicator for Kansas finally reached 50, pointing toward growth in the near future.

The indicators, when taken together, point to a slower pace of decline as reflected in the Kansas forecast for the remainder of 2009, with a sluggish rebound beginning in the second quarter of 2010.

To see a chart of Kansas employment by industry, go to http://www.wichita.edu/j/?361.

Created on Dec 21, 2009 11:21 AM; Last modified on Dec 21, 2009 11:49 AM
#
HEADLINES RSS Feed
Wichita State police lend helping hand
WSU makes case for special funding priorities
Revisions made to parking plan
High School Guest Program offering $500 scholarships
Collaboration to benefit WSU students
WSU camps introduce youth to engineering
WSU Foundation welcomes two new leaders
Wichita has 'secret source' of IT talent
WSU School of Nursing benefits from grant
Multi-disciplinary field study
WSU Foundation finishes strong year
WSU director to speak on racial profiling
WSU research uses all types of people
Shuttle system adds new stops
Permits to be required to park on main campus
WSU names new director of AEGD program
WSU reorganizes admin structure
WSU, WuShock logo at IndyCar Series
WSU hosting ACT Prep Workshop
New Health Professions dean honored
Wichita State welcomes FarmHouse fraternity to campus
WSU grad overcame tragedy to earn her degree
Flint Hills Media Project covers Butler County
WSU to host forums for returning adults
'Forty Years/Forty Stories' at WSU museum
© 1995-2014 Wichita State University. All rights reserved.
Valid HTML 401